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US-Iran Deal & Oil

Will the US-Iran deal bring sustained lower global oil prices?

US-Iran Deal & Oil Expectations are high for a potential deal between the United States and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping passage that has been effectively closed since the US and Israel launched their war on Iran in February. This significant development has already impacted global markets, leading to a weakening dollar and a notable drop in crude oil prices. The ongoing negotiations aim to resolve weeks of stalemate and ease geopolitical tensions that have profoundly affected energy flows and inflation concerns worldwide, drawing close scrutiny from international observers. - Crude oil prices, specifically Brent, fell by more than 5% to approximately $98 a barrel on expectations that a deal to restore oil flows may be near, marking the lowest level in over two weeks. - The US dollar weakened against all its Group-of-10 peers, while gold prices jumped, and US equity-index futures rallied on the optimism that a deal will help resume the flow of energy through the vital Middle East artery and ease inflation pressures. - Senior US officials indicated on Sunday, May 24, 2026, that the US and Iran were nearing a deal, though negotiations over key language were continuing and final approval from both sides could still take several days. - Iran's Tasnim news agency, however, cautioned that the draft agreement could yet collapse because the US is obstructing some key clauses, including Tehran's demand that its assets be unfrozen. - The broad improvement in risk sentiment follows weeks of stalemate between the US and Iran after the two sides agreed to a ceasefire in April, with traders closely tracking the economic fallout from the Middle East conflict. Why this poll exists: Users are being asked to vote on whether they believe the emerging US-Iran deal will lead to a sustained decrease in global oil prices and ease inflation pressures. Source: The Edge Singapore